3 at Noon

Welcome to The Proposition’s 3 at 3. We had been on the lookout for a simple place to find a few picks a day to build a bankroll, round out some parlays, or attempt to beat any of the handful of prop sites out there, and to do so with as little excess junk as possible.

No analysis paralysis, no needless podcast banter, no endless embedded twitter links, just three picks every afternoon.

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Yesterday’s Rapid Rundown: 3-0

W’s: Another sweep for the 3 @ 3, and none of them were even close. Despite not having a particularly awesome start by his standard, Shohei Ohtani smashed his over 6.5 K line, with a kind of ridiculous 13 in only 5 innings. I’m not a math pro, but that was 87% of the batters he faced last night. The Mariners did roll the putrid A’s 7-2, easily locking up our -1.5 runline. Finally, the Celtics roared back to life, cashing all three legs of our SGP (Tatum Rebs Over, Brown Points Over, and a Celtics Win.)

L’s: 

Promos to be aware of:

• None at the time of this release

Pick #1: Patrick Corbin | Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)

The Cubs are the 7th best team in the MLB in terms of avoiding the K, and Patrick Corbin is one of the worst strikeout pitchers in the league. In fact, he has only topped this line once in his 6 starts. This is one where Vegas may know something I don’t see, but I’m definitely taking the under here. There is always the blow-up factor with Corbin as well, where he could get smashed out in like the second innings.

 
Pick #2: Grayson Rodriguez | Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100)

Baltimore’s rookie pitcher has started to find his groove a bit lately, topping this line in 4 straight starts. This is another one where I don’t totally understand the line / juice, but I will definitely be taking a look at this over. His opponent today, the KC Royals, are about middle of the pack in terms of strikeouts (14th), so it isn’t like they are some extremely tough matchup. They are also in the bottom 5 offenses by a number of metrics, meaning that Rodriguez has the opportunity to go a touch deeper into the game than usual, and for someone averaging 1.41 K / inning, that seems like a nice recipe for a lot of strikeouts.

Pick #3: Steph Curry Over 30.5 Points | (-120)

Steph Curry played solid against the Lakers in Game 1, scoring 27 in 38 min. Tonight, in what many would say is a must-win game, I expect his minutes and his shot attempts to both go up. LA has thrown the long and athletic Jarred Vanderbilt to swarm Curry, which the Warriors must now adjust to. We've seen it a thousand times. If Golden State is going to make a statement here, it'll be on the shoulders of its star player, and I like Curry to score early and often, eclipsing 30 points. Step aside, Jordan Poole.

Record Year to Date: 34 - 22

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