3 at 3

Welcome to The Proposition’s 3 at 3. We had been on the lookout for a simple place to find a few picks a day to build a bankroll, round out some parlays, or attempt to beat any of the handful of prop sites out there, and to do so with as little excess junk as possible.

No analysis paralysis, no needless podcast banter, no endless embedded twitter links, just three picks every afternoon.

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Yesterday’s Rapid Rundown: 2-1

W’s: Kyle Freeland easily topped the 2.5 K mark, with 4. Likewise, Logan Gilbert smashed the over on 17.5 hours, with a season high 24. That felt like a really good line, so awesome to see it get crushed.

L’s: Grant Williams fell 1 point or rebound short of topping his combined 10.5. Tough beat for us there, but we’ll get another chance on Saturday night. If he continues to play almost 30 minutes, that is a solid play.

Promos to be aware of:

• PrizePicks currently has a Jokic points prop all the way down to .5, meaning that it is a free square. This appears to be open all the way until Game 1, so we can all take our time on this one.

Pick #1: Max Scherzer | Over 17.5 Outs (-120)

This is more of a gut feel play than anything. Mad Max has a disappointing season so far, but I think in this one the Mets will let his pitch count go up a bit after being in the 80s in his last two starts since returning from suspension. If he gets to the mid to high 90s, I think 6 innings is well within reach. Pitching in Coors is tough as always, but the Rockies offense also has a ton of nobodies. It may not be dominant, but I think he gets plenty of outs in this one. For the record, I would also look at him going over the 5.5 K line at + odds.

 
Pick #2: Chris Sale | Over 5.5 Ks (-145)

Sale has been 7 for 9 in topping this line this season, and has 27 strikeouts over his last 3 starts. Arizona’s offense has been surprisingly good this year, and they have kept their strikeouts down. Not much more to it than that, this line is too low given Sale’s performance this year (62Ks in only 50.1 innings)

Pick #3: Washington Nationals | F5 Inning ML (-110)

This is a bet that targets Royals pitcher Jordan Lyles, who has a record of 0-8-2 in First 5 innings. The Nats bats aren't going to set the world on fire, but they have a solid chance here to get after a struggling pitcher. Patrick Corbin (3-5) isn't great either, but he's been playing better as of late. It's the Nats bullpen that has been costing them late in games, so let's stick with the Nationals to beat up Lyles enough to have a lead at the end of 5 innings.

Record Year to Date: 52 - 42

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