3 at 3

Welcome to The Proposition’s 3 at 3. We had been on the lookout for a simple place to find a few picks a day to build a bankroll, round out some parlays, or attempt to beat any of the handful of prop sites out there, and to do so with as little excess junk as possible.

No analysis paralysis, no needless podcast banter, no endless embedded twitter links, just three picks every afternoon.

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Yesterday’s Rapid Rundown: 2-1

W’s: Jordan Poole + LeBron under 40.5 points was always going to be a lock if Poole scored 0 points. Yikes. Zac Gallen did come through with 7K vs. his 6.5 line. It was a bit of a sweat, but got the job done if you played it on a prop site (I combined it with the Underdog LBJ free square for a nice W).

L’s: Tanner Bibee had by far the worst start of his career against the Tigers last night, and was only able to get 2 Ks. Not even close to touching the over 5.5 we needed

Promos to be aware of:

• Taco Tuesday over at PrizePicks. As we write this, the prop is Jaylen Brown cut down to 21.5 Points from 24.5. A little tight, but probably still a good play

Pick #1: Nikola Jokic | Over 13.5 Rebounds (-125)

Denver's do-it-all Center went off for 53 points in Game 4, yet only managed 4 rebounds. It's a bit of a blip on the mass production Jokic has been managing in the postseason. Jokic is averaging 13.1 boards in the postseason and 14 boards in this series, grabbing 19, 16, and 17 before the recent 4 dragged his average down. The Nuggets look to get back on track in Denver tonight, and I think we see another big game from the 2-time MVP. His minutes are also seeing a massive bump, meaning more opportunities. If Booker and Durant stop throwing flames like they were in Phoenix, that's even more chances.

 
Pick #2: Shane Bieber | Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-106)

The Guardians’ Ace just doesn’t strike out batters like this anymore. I know Detroit strikes out a lot, but this is more a bet against Bieber’s stuff. He’s had 7 starts this year, and has gone over this line just once (7K against the AAA Oakland A’s). In fact, he has only gone over 4 Ks just once. The results are still alright, with an ERA under 3, but I don’t see Bieber popping off for a ton of strikeouts in this one, mostly since he hasn’t done it all year.

Pick #3: Brandon Pfaadt | Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)

Whoa, plus odds. The D’Backs’ rookie wasn’t good at all in his first start vs. the Rangers last week, but he did record 3 Ks. This is a guy who was averaging more than 1 K per inning in the minors this year, and now goes up against a lineup that has some minor league quality hitters in it. Given the arm talent, average lineup, and maybe less nerves, all on top of some plus money, I’ll take this one all day.

Record Year to Date: 36 - 26

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