3 at 3

Welcome to The Proposition’s 3 at 3. We had been on the lookout for a simple place to find a few picks a day to build a bankroll, round out some parlays, or attempt to beat any of the handful of prop sites out there, and to do so with as little excess junk as possible.

No analysis paralysis, no needless podcast banter, no endless embedded twitter links, just three picks every day at 3PM (et) with relevant rationale.

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Yesterday’s Rapid Rundown: 1-2

W’s: In what ended up being a pretty crazy draft night, we did nail our pick of Bijan Robinson to be drafted before Peter Skoronski. Atlanta needs to find a way to like redshirt him or something to enter the Caleb Williams sweepstakes, as I don’t totally understand the plan at QB.

L’s: Joey Wentz did manage to keep the Orioles in check, giving going under the 2.5 earned prop, only giving up two. Close but no cigar. The same can be said about the over in the Maple Leafs / Lightning game, with 6 goals vs. our over line of 6.5.

Promos to be aware of:

Sleeper has Draymond Green > .5 PTS which is obviously a free square.

Jock MKT has Jacob Degrom down at 7.5 Ks, but with an original line of 9 that is pushing it

Pick #1: D’Angelo Russell / Dillon Brooks | Combined points Under 29.5 (-120)

I expect a highly competitive game 6 tonight, but with most of the scoring coming from the star players. Both Russell and Brooks have been rather quiet when it comes to scoring (Brooks in particular, who besides his trash talk, has been an afterthought). Russell is playing more like a point guard, dropping over 6 dimes a game, but his point average is 13.8 (good for 5th on the team), and Brooks is averaging 10.6. He claims his big game is coming, but I doubt it's in LA in a game where Morant and Bane are going to be the focal points. Back the under, as the two combined have only gotten over 29.5 once out of five games (back in game 1).

 
Pick #2: Grayson Rodriguez | Over 5.5 Ks (-136)

Despite an underwhelming ERA of 5.12, the top prospect has put up decent strikeout numbers for Baltimore. He’s rang up more than 5 in each of his last three games, and had 5 exactly in his first start. Throwing that in with the fact that he is again going up against a bad Tigers lineup and I think I would definitely play this.

Pick #3: Dustin May | Under 5.5 Ks (-150)

Yes, it’s a huge juice number, but I could actually see a 4 here if you wanted to play that. May has more than 5 strikeouts just once in his 5 starts this year and he’s going against a Cardinals team that doesn’t strike out a ton. They also just sent down Jordan Walker, who was good for at least 1 or 2 strikeouts a game.

Record Year to Date: 25 - 19

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